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2C

22nd Century Group, Inc. (XXII)·Q3 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2023 results deteriorated materially: revenue fell 8.1% year-over-year to $17.811M, gross loss was $(1.966)M, and net loss widened to $(72.720)M driven by goodwill and asset impairments and restructuring charges .
  • Segment mix continued to shift: Tobacco revenue dropped 31.8% YoY to $7.871M while Hemp/Cannabis grew 26.7% YoY to $9.940M, but margins remained negative amid fire-related operational disruption and inventory reserve increases .
  • Liquidity is acute: cash was $2.850M (plus $7.500M previously restricted) at quarter‑end; management cited “substantial doubt” about going concern, obtained a revenue covenant waiver, and reduced Q4 revenue target to $15.500M; an October offering raised ~$5.25M gross .
  • Strategic actions/catalysts: announced strategic alternatives (Sep 5), initiated warrant inducement (Nov 28), and appointed Lawrence D. Firestone as CEO/chair contingent on ≥$2.5M warrant proceeds; considering sale of GVB assets and further cost cuts .
  • No Q3 earnings call transcript was available; investor focus likely centers on financing, covenant relief, asset sale execution, and cost reduction tracking [ListDocuments, 2023-07-01 to 2023-12-31] .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Hemp/Cannabis revenue increased 26.7% YoY to $9.940M on bulk ingredient sales, despite operational headwinds .
  • Cost actions underway: management implemented initiatives intended to reduce operating costs by ~$15M on an annualized basis once fully in place .
  • Debt/covenant relief and balance sheet actions: lenders waived the Q3 revenue covenant and released $7.5M restricted cash to reduce principal; an October equity offering raised ~$5.25M gross .

What Went Wrong

  • Profitability deteriorated: Q3 recorded $(1.966)M gross loss vs $0.619M gross profit YoY; operating loss surged to $(71.482)M on $33.360M goodwill impairment and $24.317M of restructuring (asset and ROU impairments, severance) .
  • Tobacco revenue fell 31.8% YoY to $7.871M given planned reallocation from lower-margin filtered cigars; cartons sold dropped vs 2022 .
  • Liquidity stress: “substantial doubt” about going concern; payables exceeded cash, and management warned of ceasing operations absent near‑term funding; business interruption recoveries remain litigated .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2023
Revenue ($USD Millions)$19.383 $21.962 $23.427 $17.811
Gross Profit (Loss) ($USD Millions)$0.619 $(1.177) $(2.345) $(1.966)
Operating Loss ($USD Millions)$(15.268) $(17.823) $(19.353) $(71.482)
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(13.102) $(18.182) $(20.539) $(72.720)
EPS (Basic & Diluted) ($USD)$(0.94) $(0.08) $(1.40) $(3.68)

Segment revenue breakdown:

Segment Revenue ($USD Millions)Q3 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2023
Tobacco$11.535 $8.927 $8.050 $7.871
Hemp/Cannabis$7.848 $13.035 $15.377 $9.940

Selected KPIs:

KPIQ3 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2023
Tobacco Cartons Sold (units)1,573 1,002 796 827
Bulk Ingredient Sales Volume (kg)27,912 68,195 76,591 49,142

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue Covenant Target (Debentures)Q3 2023$18.500M minimum (failed; waived) Waiver granted; target reduced to $15.500M for Q4 2023 Lowered
Operating Liquidity RunwayThrough Jan 31, 2024Not specifiedSufficient funds to operate through Jan 31, 2024 with ≥$2.5M warrant inducement proceeds New disclosure
Restricted Cash RequirementOngoingMaintain $7.500M escrow Released to reduce principal by $7.500M Amended

No formal revenue/EPS margin guidance ranges were issued; management focused disclosures on liquidity runway, covenant relief, financing and strategic alternatives .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

(No Q3 earnings call transcript available. Themes drawn from Q3 10‑Q and 8‑K.)

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3 2023)Trend
Liquidity/Going ConcernQ1: initial business interruption claim expected; Q2: cost savings program underway; working capital declining “Substantial doubt” about going concern; payables exceed cash; runway to Jan 31, 2024 contingent on warrant proceeds Deteriorating
Debt Covenants & FinancingQ2: in compliance; Debentures and Subordinated Note outstanding Q3: revenue covenant violated and waived; target lowered; $7.5M escrow applied to principal; October equity raise Relief but ongoing constraints
Strategic AlternativesNot highlighted in Q1; Q2 buildout and VLN® expansion Announced Sept 5; exploring asset sales including GVB; expense cuts Intensifying
VLN®/Tobacco PerformanceQ1/Q2: reallocation away from filtered cigars to higher-margin cigarettes Tobacco revenue down 31.8% YoY; cartons sold still below prior year Weaker volumes
Hemp/Cannabis OperationsQ1/Q2: record ingredient volumes; Grass Valley fire impact Revenue up YoY; margins pressured; increased inventory reserves; segment impairment charges Mixed; margins negative
Insurance LitigationQ2: litigation filed vs insurer over business interruption Ongoing; recovery remains uncertain Pending
Leadership ChangesQ2: CEO transition (Aug 1, 2023) Lawrence D. Firestone appointed CEO/chair contingent on warrant inducement Change in leadership

Management Commentary

  • “There is substantial doubt about the Company’s ability to continue as a going concern through one year following the date that the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements are issued.”
  • “On September 5, 2023, the Company announced its intent to explore strategic alternatives… including business combinations, asset sales, licensing agreements, alternative financing strategies and other options.”
  • “During July 2023, the Company implemented a cost savings initiative… resulting in an estimated $15,000 in annualized cost reductions across its operations once fully in place.”
  • “As of November 24, 2023, the Company has approximately $3.3 million in cash and cash equivalents… If the Company is unable to obtain such funding, it will have to cease operations and liquidate its assets.”
  • “On November 28, 2023… the Board appointed Lawrence D. Firestone… as the Company’s Chief Executive Officer” (upon ≥$2.5M warrant inducement proceeds) .

Q&A Highlights

No Q3 2023 earnings call transcript was available; the company did not publish an earnings call transcript for Q3 in the document set searched (Q3 10‑Q filed Nov 6 and 8‑K filed Nov 29) [ListDocuments, 2023-07-01 to 2023-12-31].

Estimates Context

Wall Street consensus estimates from S&P Global for Q3 2023 could not be retrieved (API rate limit); as a result, a comparison to consensus EPS and revenue is unavailable at this time. Values would be retrieved from S&P Global if accessible.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Liquidity risk is the dominant factor: management’s own disclosures highlight “substantial doubt” and a near‑term runway dependent on warrant inducement proceeds and asset monetizations .
  • Capital structure relief helps but is not sufficient: covenant waiver, reduced revenue target, and $7.5M escrow applied to principal provide near-term flexibility; continued financing remains necessary .
  • Profitability headwinds intensified: heavy impairment and restructuring in Q3 signal a reset in the hemp/cannabis asset base and continued negative segment margins; monitor further impairment or asset sale execution .
  • Execution focus areas: (1) VLN® cigarette commercialization and mix shift back to higher-margin volumes, (2) rebuilding hemp/cannabis processing economics post‑fire, and (3) cost structure discipline to deliver the targeted ~$15M annualized savings .
  • Litigation outcomes matter: business interruption insurance litigation could materially affect cash flows; updates may change the liquidity trajectory .
  • Leadership transition is a catalyst: new CEO and board chair with financing and operational experience may accelerate strategic alternatives and financing actions .
  • Near‑term trading: stock likely sensitive to financing announcements, covenant developments, warrant inducement uptake, and asset sale progress; absence of a Q3 call limits direct guidance clarity .

Additional Notes (Documents Read)

  • Q3 2023 10‑Q (filed Nov 6, 2023): full financials, segment detail, impairments, liquidity/go‑concern, covenant waiver, subsequent offering .
  • 8‑K (Nov 29, 2023): warrant inducement offering details; Item 2.02 liquidity update; appointment of new CEO; going concern language .
  • Prior quarters for trend: Q1 2023 10‑Q (May 9, 2023) and Q2 2023 10‑Q (Aug 14, 2023) covering revenue/margin trends, VLN® rollout, hemp/cannabis volumes, and insurance litigation initiation .